Texans vs. Colts odds, line, spread: 2024 Week 18 NFL picks, predictions, best bets from model on 181-129 roll

The Houston Texans (9-7) and Indianapolis Colts (9-7) will battle for a playoff spot when they close out the regular season with a Saturday Night Football showdown. Houston has two wins over Tennessee in the past three weeks to move into a three-way tie with the Colts and Jaguars atop the AFC South standings. If Jacksonville loses to Tennessee on Sunday, the winner of that game would also win the division title. Indianapolis bounced back from a loss to Atlanta with a 23-20 win over the Raiders last week.

Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET. Houston is a two-point favorite in the latest Texans vs. Colts odds, while the over/under in total points scored is 47.5. Before making any Colts vs. Texans picks or NFL predictions, you need to see NFL betting tips from SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, costs well over $7,000 for top-rated $100 players. NFL Pick since its creation. The model enters Week 18 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 181-129 streak on top-rated NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season. He's also on a 35-21 run among highest-rated picks in the NFL since Week 7 of last season.

The model has also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the last six years on straight NFL picks and has beaten more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who followed him is at the top.

Now the model has focused on Texans vs. Colts and has just revealed his choices and predictions. You can see the model's choices only on SportsLine. Here are several NFL Odds and betting lines for the Colts vs. Texans:

  • Texans vs. Colts gap: Houston -2
  • Texans vs. Colts plus/minus: 47.5 points
  • Money line of the Texans against the Colts: Houston -129, Indianapolis +108
  • Team: QB CJ Stroud ranks fourth in NFL in passing yards per game (274.6)
  • IND: LB Zaire Franklin leads the league in tackles (170)
  • Texans vs. Colts picks: See the choices here
  • Live stream Texans vs. Colts: fubo (try for free)

Why the Texans can cover

Indianapolis has not performed well this time of year, losing five straight games in January while covering the spread just once in those contests. Houston earned a 26-3 victory over Tennessee last week, as quarterback CJ Stroud completed 24 of 32 passes for 213 yards and a touchdown after missing the previous two games with a concussion . He connected with wide receiver Nico Collins seven times for 80 yards in the victory.

Stroud totaled 384 passing yards and two touchdowns against Indianapolis in Week 2, with Collins catching seven passes for 146 yards and a score. The Colts have covered the spread just six times in their last 19 games against division opponents, while Houston has covered the spread in seven of their last 10 road games. The Texans have more offensive firepower than the Colts now that Stroud is back on the field, as he forms a lethal duo with Collins. Find out which team to choose here.

Why the Colts can cover

Indianapolis improved its defense during the second half of the season. Over their last eight games, the Colts have allowed 21.4 points per game and are 6-2. This is a dramatic improvement from their first eight games of the season, when they allowed an NFL-worst 28.6 points per game.

Additionally, running back Jonathan Taylor enters the game on a roll. The 5-foot-10, 226-pound Taylor, whose season began with a contentious contract dispute with the organization, has scored at least one touchdown in five straight games. This is the second-longest active streak in the league. Find out which team to choose here.

How to make Texans vs. Colts picks

SportsLine's model is leaning under the point total, predicting a total of 47 points. The model also indicates that one side of the gap occurs in well over 50% of simulations. You can see the model's NFL picks and analysis only at SportsLine.

So who wins the Colts against the Texans on Saturday, and which side of the spread reaches well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Texans vs. Colts spread you should jump to, all from the forward model on a 181-129 result on NFL picks.and discover.



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