Tottenham vs Burnley prediction, odds, betting tips and best bets for FA Cup third round match

After seeing their EFL Cup run disappointed by expectations, Tottenham will be hoping for a better showing in this year's FA Cup when they meet fellow Premier League side Burnley in the third round of the competition.

Spurs fell to Fulham on penalties in the second round of the EFL Cup at the end of August, and with no European matches this season, Ange Postecoglou has been forced to focus solely on the league.

The FA Cup could provide Spurs with a few more matches, and it will be interesting to see how Postecoglou plays this game from a team perspective. The Australian coach was heavily criticized for his approach to the EFL Cup match, deploying a host of second-choice players who faltered amid early elimination.

Burnley, meanwhile, will be hoping their own upset could portend an improvement in form at league level as they find themselves in the relegation zone and would hang their hat on any confidence boost this game might bring.

UNITED STATES: Click here to see the latest odds for Tottenham vs Burnley and bet on the FA Cup matches

Tottenham vs Burnley predictions, odds

  • Skinny moneyline: Tottenham (-210)
  • Score prediction: Tottenham 2-1 Burnley

Ange Postecoglou will have learned his lesson from the disappointment of the EFL Cup in August. With only the league to focus on this season, he should have the ability to take on his openers in this game, who should be able to put aside their relegation-threatened opponents.

Spurs have a few injuries to work around, with James Maddison, Micky van de Ven and Cristian Romero all sidelined, but they will still have plenty of firepower to take the field.

Burnley, meanwhile, must look ahead to bigger fixtures, including a massive six-point relegation defeat to Luton Town in 10 days, as well as a brutal post-winter break stretch as Man City, Liverpool and Arsenal feature all on the list of upcoming matches. FEBRUARY.

DraftKings
(UNITED STATES)
Tottenham
win (90 minutes)
-270
Draw
(90 minutes)
+425
Burnley
win (90 minutes)
+500
The two teams
mark Y/N
-180 / +145
More less
3.5 goals
-115 / -120
Tottenham
To advance
-400
(FanDuel)
Burnley
To advance
+300
(FanDuel)

Tottenham vs Burnley Match Facts

  • Date: Friday January 5, 2024
  • Kick-off time: 8 p.m. local (3 p.m. ET / 12 p.m. PT)
  • Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium (London, England)
  • Arbitrator: Sam Barrott, VAR: Darren Bond
  • Last meeting: Burnley 2-5 Tottenham (September 2, 2023 | Premier League)

Tottenham vs Burnley: Best Bet

  • Take: Giovani Lo Celso to score or assist a goal
  • Odds: +145 (FanDuel)

Tottenham should have plenty of chances in this match given Burnley's defensive struggles, and Argentine midfielder Gio Lo Celso will surely be at the forefront of their advance. With James Maddison injured, Lo Celso overcame his own fitness issues to prove vital during this stretch for Spurs.

Last time out against Bournemouth, Lo Celso made only his second start of the season and was brilliant, winning a staggering 11 out of 14 ground duels as he took on his opponents at will. He saw his two key passes turn into goals and roasted the Cherries for the entirety of his 82 minutes on the pitch.

With Spurs missing their main number 10 in Maddison and just one game left between now and January 31, there's no reason why Ange Postecoglou shouldn't sack Lo Celso in retaliation, and he should deliver the goods.

Tottenham vs Burnley prop bet

  • Take: Jay Rodriguez, anytime scorer
  • Odds: +350 (DraftKings)

Tottenham and clean sheets mix like oil and water, they just don't go together. Although Jay Rodriguez, 34, may not be fit enough for a regular starting role at Burnley, this game could be a good opportunity for him to break into the team, especially with the first choice Lyle Foster collapsing in front.

Foster scored in the last defeat against Aston Villa, but overall he provided few chances up front. Rodriguez, meanwhile, has the opposite problem: he was very involved on the pitch but struggled to finish. The latter will appeal more to Sean Dyche, knowing that Rodriguez has the quality to reverse his misses in front of the net.

Rodriguez has failed to find the net in his last three starts, but has a 1.53 expected goals rating on five shots during that span. He should be able to pull off a good changeup here if he gets the chance, but make sure the veteran leader gets the start before saving this play.

Tottenham vs Burnley live, TV channel

TV channelStreaming
UNITED STATESESPN+
CanadaSports NetworkSportsnet now
UNITED KINGDOMITV 1 UK, STV ScotlandITVX, STV player

The entire FA Cup is broadcast in the United States on ESPN+including this third round match between Tottenham and Burnley.


In Canada, Sportsnet owns the broadcast rights to the FA Cup, with all matches spread across the company's family of networks and their Sportsnet Now Plus streaming service.

In the UK, the rights to the FA Cup are owned by ITV and STV. This match will be broadcast across much of the UK on ITV 1, while STV will broadcast the match in Scotland.

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