Arsenal vs Liverpool prediction, odds, betting tips and best bets for FA Cup third round match

A marquee showdown between the Premier League giants accentuates the FA Cup third round fixture list as Arsenal host Liverpool, with both teams hoping to avoid another early exit from the competition.

With a 2019/20 FA Cup title sandwiched in the middle, Arsenal were shockingly knocked out of this competition early in recent years, knocked out in the third or fourth round at every attempt since 2017/18 apart from the aforementioned trophy race.

Liverpool suffered an eerily similar fate, with their 2021/22 FA Cup title accentuating a recent run of otherwise poor results in this knockout tournament. Aside from that trophy, the Reds have not progressed past the fifth round since a semi-final appearance in 2014/15, and only got there has the fifth round once in this sequence.

Regardless, the two clubs have recently moved in opposite directions. Arsenal have lost their grip on the title race and slumped to fourth place in the Premier League table, with just one win and three defeats in their last five matches. Liverpool, meanwhile, took the lead, three points behind at the top as they began to score goals at will.

UNITED STATES: Click here to see the latest odds for Arsenal vs Liverpool and bet on the FA Cup matches

Arsenal vs Liverpool predictions, odds

  • Skinny moneyline: Liverpool (+235)
  • Score prediction: Arsenal 1-3 Liverpool

It's crazy that the Reds, given their exceptional form compared to that of their opponents who are losing momentum, are such underdogs in this match. Sure, the Gunners are at home, and anything can (and probably will) happen in this match, but the line is almost dodgy in nature – which surely gives us pause (what do the punters know?), but it's so good to pass. up.

These two teams played out a hard-fought draw last time out less than a month ago, but the Reds hit the woodwork twice in this match as they had the better chances after Arsenal's opener. Overall, Jurgen Klopp has had great success against Arsenal, with just one outright defeat against the Gunners in his last 11 attempts dating back to the COVID season.

There is a chance that both managers rotate their teams for an FA Cup first round match, regardless of the opponent, but if they do it will only favor the Reds further, as Jurgen Klopp can rest easy knowing he has a much deeper bench to choose from.

DraftKings
(UNITED STATES)
Arsenal victory
(90 minutes)
-105
Draw
(90 minutes)
+275
Liverpool victory
(90 minutes)
+235
The two teams
mark Y/N
-190 / +130
More less
2.5 goals
-170 / +115
Arsenal
To advance
-138
(FanDuel)
Liverpool
To advance
+112
(FanDuel)

Arsenal vs Liverpool Match Facts

  • Date: Sunday January 7, 2024
  • Kick-off time: 4:30 p.m. local (11:30 a.m. ET / 8:30 a.m. PT)
  • Location: Emirates Stadium (London, England)
  • Arbitrator: John Brooks, VAR: Simon Hooper
  • Last meeting: Liverpool 1-1 Arsenal (December 23, 2023 | Premier League)

Arsenal vs Liverpool best bet

  • Take: Darwin Nunez to score or assist a goal
  • Odds: +195 (FanDuel)

With Mohamed Salah already departing for his next trip to the Africa Cup of Nations, Darwin Nunez is emerging as a key part of Liverpool's attack. The Uruguayan has been an integral part of the Reds' attack in recent weeks, and while his finishing still leaves something to be desired, his volume certainly makes up for it.

Nunez failed to score last time out against Newcastle despite posting a gargantuan 1.87 xG from eight shots, but he did get an assist in this game for his troubles. Every time Nunez has recorded at least 0.3 xA this season, he has been rewarded with an assist, as the rest of Liverpool's attack stands out for his creative contributions.

To make matters even more enticing, Nunez has seemingly been rotation-proof for Jurgen Klopp, playing a part in all three EFL Cup matches to date with two starts, and even scoring in his only Cup appearance. replacement. Expect Nunez to be involved here, and potentially against a rotating Arsenal team.

Arsenal vs Liverpool Bet

  • Take: Liverpool 13+ shots
  • Odds: +100 (FanDuel)

As Liverpool begin to hit their best attacking form, the Reds have hit that threshold in every but one Premier League game since the end of September, and in all but three league games this year, including 13 fewer shots against Arsenal from a month ago. Hell, they just pulled off a gargantuan 34-shot strike against Newcastle last time out on New Year's Day.

With all the odds for this match heavily skewed in Arsenal's favor, the chance to sustain an average Liverpool performance is absolutely worth the significant value, even if Jurgen Klopp rotates his squad deep.

Arsenal vs Liverpool live, TV channel

Region TV channel Streaming
UNITED STATES ESPN+
Canada Sports Network Sportsnet now
UNITED KINGDOM BBC One BBC iPlayer

The broadcast rights for the 2023/24 FA Cup in the United States belong to ESPN, with every match in the competition being broadcast on ESPN+.


In Canada, Sportsnet owns the broadcast rights to the FA Cup, with all matches spread across the company's family of networks as well as their Sportsnet Now streaming service.

In the UK, the broadcast rights for this FA Cup match belong to the BBC, which will broadcast the match on BBC One and its iPlayer streaming service.

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